BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arkansas St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 109 Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength = 140.94
Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (5-3) | District: 1A-01 Record: (6-6)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W 138.03 42 24 1B 78 ( 4- 8) SE Missouri St -2.92 4.28 20.92
2 09/06/2025 Neutral L * 118.37 14 56 1A 47 ( 2-10) Arkansas -22.57 -12.26 -19.43
3 09/13/2025 Home L * 155.02 16 24 1A 33 ( 8- 4) Iowa St 14.07 -13.38 -22.07
4 09/20/2025 Away L * 141.64 21 28 1A 90 (10- 4) Kennesaw St 0.70 0.02 -7.70
5 09/27/2025 Away L * * 119.03 16 28 1A 132 ( 3- 9) Louisiana-Monroe -21.91 6.88 9.91
6 10/04/2025 Home W * * 150.01 31 30 1A 84 ( 7- 6) Texas St-San Marcos 9.07 -19.37 -8.07
7 10/14/2025 Away W * * 142.45 15 14 1A 110 ( 4- 8) South Alabama 1.51 -3.48 -0.51
8 10/25/2025 Home W * * 149.52 34 24 1A 107 ( 7- 6) Georgia Southern 8.58 0.35 1.42
9 11/01/2025 Away W * * 159.55 23 10 1A 98 ( 8- 6) Troy 18.61 -8.76 -5.61
10 11/08/2025 Home L * * 135.35 21 27 1A 100 ( 7- 6) Southern Miss -5.60 -6.43 -0.40
11 11/20/2025 Home L * * 134.18 30 34 1A 113 ( 6- 7) Louisiana-Lafayette -6.76 0.57 2.76
12 11/29/2025 Away W * * 140.93 30 29 1A 120 ( 5- 8) Appalachian St -0.01 -0.55 1.01
13 12/18/2025 Neutral W * 148.17 34 28 1A 99 ( 7- 6) Missouri St 7.23 -5.19 -1.23
Averages 140.94 25.2 27.4
Best game: 159.55 = 13 point win over Troy
Worst game: 118.37 = 42 point loss to Arkansas
Team stdev: 12.35