BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Arkansas St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 111 Overall: (4-4) Overall Strength =  148.26
Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (3-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-4)
                                                                                       pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Home    W     149.24  42  24   1B  67 (3-5) SE Missouri St          0.98      4.28   17.02                      
 2 09/06/2025 Neutral L   * 129.69  14  56   1A  33 (2-6) Arkansas              -18.57    -12.26  -23.43                      
 3 09/13/2025 Home    L   * 163.22  16  24   1A  39 (5-3) Iowa St                14.96    -13.38  -22.96                      
 4 09/20/2025 Away    L   * 155.36  21  28   1A  62 (5-2) Kennesaw St             7.10      0.02  -14.10                      
 5 09/27/2025 Away    L * * 126.12  16  28   1A 132 (3-5) Louisiana-Monroe      -22.14      6.88   10.14                      
 6 10/04/2025 Home    W * * 155.52  31  30   1A  88 (3-4) Texas St-San Marcos     7.26    -19.37   -6.26                      
 7 10/14/2025 Away    W * * 151.54  15  14   1A 121 (2-6) South Alabama           3.28     -3.49   -2.28                      
 8 10/25/2025 Home    W * * 155.39  34  24   1A 113 (3-5) Georgia Southern        7.13      0.39    2.87                      
 9 11/01/2025 Away      * *                  1A  94 (6-2) Troy                                     -8.77            
10 11/08/2025 Home      * *                  1A  84 (6-2) Southern Miss                            -7.10            
11 11/20/2025 Home      * *                  1A 115 (2-6) Louisiana-Lafayette                       3.34            
12 11/29/2025 Away      * *                  1A 109 (4-4) Appalachian St                           -2.79            
      Averages             148.26  23.6 28.5

Best game:  163.22 = 8 point loss to Iowa St
Worst game: 126.12 = 12 point loss to Louisiana-Monroe
Team stdev:  13.23