BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arkansas St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 111 Overall: (6-6) Overall Strength = 141.22
Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (5-3) | District: 1A-01 Record: (5-6)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W 138.56 42 24 1B 78 ( 4- 8) SE Missouri St -2.66 4.28 20.66
2 09/06/2025 Neutral L * 119.46 14 56 1A 43 ( 2-10) Arkansas -21.76 -12.26 -20.24
3 09/13/2025 Home L * 156.31 16 24 1A 32 ( 8- 4) Iowa St 15.09 -13.38 -23.09
4 09/20/2025 Away L * 144.67 21 28 1A 84 (10- 3) Kennesaw St 3.46 0.02 -10.46
5 09/27/2025 Away L * * 119.47 16 28 1A 132 ( 3- 9) Louisiana-Monroe -21.75 6.88 9.75
6 10/04/2025 Home W * * 149.30 31 30 1A 88 ( 6- 6) Texas St-San Marcos 8.09 -19.37 -7.09
7 10/14/2025 Away W * * 143.08 15 14 1A 114 ( 4- 8) South Alabama 1.86 -3.46 -0.86
8 10/25/2025 Home W * * 148.65 34 24 1A 112 ( 6- 6) Georgia Southern 7.43 0.35 2.57
9 11/01/2025 Away W * * 160.45 23 10 1A 99 ( 8- 5) Troy 19.23 -8.73 -6.23
10 11/08/2025 Home L * * 136.60 21 27 1A 101 ( 7- 5) Southern Miss -4.62 -6.45 -1.38
11 11/20/2025 Home L * * 135.56 30 34 1A 110 ( 6- 6) Louisiana-Lafayette -5.66 0.55 1.66
12 11/29/2025 Away W * * 142.50 30 29 1A 117 ( 5- 7) Appalachian St 1.28 -0.52 -0.28
13 12/18/2025 Neutral * 1A 97 ( 7- 5) Missouri St -5.18
Averages 141.22 24.4 27.3
Best game: 160.45 = 13 point win over Troy
Worst game: 119.46 = 42 point loss to Arkansas
Team stdev: 12.59