BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Arkansas St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 96 Overall: (1-3) Overall Strength = 167.71
Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (0-0) | District: 1A-01 Record: (0-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W 162.17 42 24 1B 78 (1-3) SE Missouri St -1.80 4.28 19.80
2 09/06/2025 Neutral L * 152.72 14 56 1A 25 (2-2) Arkansas -11.25 * -12.25 -30.75
3 09/13/2025 Home L * 174.96 16 24 1A 60 (4-0) Iowa St 11.00 -13.38 -19.00
4 09/20/2025 Away L * 166.01 21 28 1A 87 (2-2) Kennesaw St 2.04 0.03 -9.04
5 09/27/2025 Away * * 1A 116 (2-1) Louisiana-Monroe 6.87
6 10/04/2025 Home * * 1A 70 (3-1) Texas St-San Marcos -5.69
7 10/14/2025 Away * * 1A 121 (1-3) South Alabama 8.78
8 10/25/2025 Home * * 1A 109 (2-2) Georgia Southern 8.67
9 11/01/2025 Away * * 1A 98 (2-2) Troy -1.93
10 11/08/2025 Home * * 1A 77 (2-2) Southern Miss -3.81
11 11/20/2025 Home * * 1A 131 (1-3) Louisiana-Lafayette 17.37
12 11/29/2025 Away * * 1A 114 (2-1) Appalachian St 6.38
Averages 163.96 23.2 33.0
Best game: 174.96 = 8 point loss to Iowa St
Worst game: 152.72 = 42 point loss to Arkansas
Team stdev: 9.22